Discussion
Our spatial analysis of hypoglycemic events requiring prehospital emergency assistance in Andalusia performed by the Local Moran’s I statistic supported the existence of geographical patterns in the overall population, both genders and subjects aged >64 years. The maps generated considering these populations pointed at different areas according to the incidence of hypoglycemic events, unmasking up to two regions with high and up to three regions with low hypoglycemia incidence. As diabetes management mainly lies in outpatient care, the significant gathering and dispersion of hypoglycemic events may be affected by out-of-hospital factors. Indeed, socioeconomic variables such as unemployment, literacy/education, housing and sports facilities were associated with hypoglycemia incidence in our linear regression analyses.
The hypoglycemia distribution in the overall population may be driven by its higher incidence in women, especially those unemployed and with low literacy/education. Linear regression findings supported the direct association of hypoglycemia incidence with the number of unemployed individuals and its inverse association with the number of those with secondary studies in the female and overall populations. The clustering maps agreed with these findings as the cluster with high hypoglycemias partly overlapped that of high unemployment and the cluster with low hypoglycemias almost completely overlapped that with higher rates of secondary studies in both women and overall populations. However, these variables seem to be unrelated to the hypoglycemia incidence in men, despite its distinct geographical pattern, suggesting the effect of other factors or more complex interactions that are still pending clarification.
With regard to the association between the hypoglycemia incidence and the number of individuals aged <16 years in the overall population, the lower representativity of their hypoglycemic events and the type of diabetes that usually affect this age group should be noted; while adult and elderly patients are mainly affected by type 2 diabetes, young patients are mostly cases of type 1 diabetes.23 In addition, our geographical analysis revealed no significant pattern of hypoglycemic events in this subset of younger subjects, in contrast to the geographical pattern seen in those aged >64 years. Even considering that hypoglycemic events in this age range are few in the whole dataset, they are, unfortunately, very frequent in the daily life of people with type 1 diabetes due to their need for complex insulin regimens. Therefore, the influence of external factors in the occurrence of hypoglycemia events in this group could be less discriminating.
On the contrary, the distinct distribution of hypoglycemic events in the older population may be affected by societal factors, such as the number of single-person homes and sports facilities. However, the inverse association of hypoglycemia incidence and single-person homes contrasts with our expectation and merits reflection. Our previous report,7 which showed a clearly lower incidence of severe hypoglycemic episode emergency calls during the night and a peak during the first morning hours, suggests absence of detection during the night and, perhaps, another person other than the patient noticing the condition after the night. We can speculate that our finding (less severe hypoglycemic events in single-person homes) is an issue of non-detection rather than a real protective factor.
There was a partial overlap of the high-value and one of the low-value hypoglycemia clusters with a low-value and a high-value cluster of sports facilities, respectively. Although the fear of hypoglycemia can be a major barrier to physical activity,8 its relationship with the number of sports facilities remains unclarified. Complex interactions with other indirect indicators are likely involved in these associations, and further analyses are therefore needed to shed light on these issues. Indeed, the R2 coefficient values of the statistically significant associations with societal factors could be considered of mild to medium effect,24 which highlight the underlying multifactorial nature of the hypoglycemia incidence distribution.
To our knowledge, only one report has used spatial and multivariate analyses to understand the geographical clustering and socioeconomic factors associated with hypoglycemic events.25 Its findings unmasked 21 local government areas with increased risk of hypoglycemia attended by prehospital emergency medical service and also revealed the influence of area-level factors such as the proportion of overseas-born residents and access to a motor vehicle in the state of Victoria in Australia. Other studies have investigated the geographical distribution of diabetes prevalence and cardiac, neurologic, renal and lower extremity diabetic complications, revealing significant clustering in many countries worldwide.10–13 26–39 Reported data in European countries showed the influence of area deprivation, population density, educational attainment, income level and green urban areas in diabetes prevalence.10 32 Sociodemographic and environment-related variables were also associated with diabetes prevalence in some areas of the USA, Canada, New Zealand and China,11–13 27 28 33 35 38 including age, race/ethnicity, economic status, physical inactivity, active commuting, recreation facilities, unhealthy lifestyle, natural amenities, lone-parent families, vacant houses, literacy/education, smoking, unemployment and criminality. In addition, population characteristics such as elderly residents also predicted the higher rates of moderate to severe cardiac, neurologic, renal and lower extremity complications in New York City, as well as the proportion of certain races/ethnicities, insurance rates and poverty.26 Areas of increased prevalence of lower extremity complications such as diabetic foot ulceration and amputation have also been associated with local deprivation considering employment, income, crime, housing, health, education and access in Scotland.31 Although comparisons among study findings are limited by the outcome and methodologic differences, the identification of local variability using geographical analyses highlights its suitability to promote and monitor public policies for diabetes management. Furthermore, the incidence rate of severe hypoglycemia reported in our project is within the range evidenced by different studies performed using distinct reporting methods worldwide (online supplemental table 3).7 40–45
Despite the crucial role of diabetes care in delaying disease-related complications, the different local context of patient groups within regions or countries also seems to unevenly affect their appearance.26 31 37 Understanding spatial variations of diabetic outcomes and their relationships with societal factors can identify high-risk areas and ground-specific programs prioritizing interventions to improve healthcare delivery to involved communities.10 11 25 26 36 37 The identification of successful clusters in obtaining proposed goals may serve as an example of actions that may be considered when promoting and delivering healthcare,13 37 though reasons for distinct healthcare needs in specific communities warrant further research to achieve optimal results.11 26 Thus, we consider that our analysis represents a suitable approach to identify hypoglycemia patterns and population peculiarities that can be used to tailor _targeted interventions and improve preventive healthcare programs.
We nonetheless acknowledge certain limitations that should be considered when interpreting our findings, including the retrospective collection of information available in several databases and the inherent spatial analysis bias derived from its geometric and graphic nature. Although spatial autocorrelation techniques reduce the subjectivity of data visualization in space and spatial analysis is an appropriate method for descriptive and exploratory purposes, it cannot provide satisfactory explanations. We therefore performed linear regression analyses to provide further insight into the association of hypoglycemia with a broad range of socioeconomic factors retrieved from different databases. However, medical charts of people who called requesting assistance could not be accessed and the potential influence of other unconsidered factors such as those related to diabetes management could not be assessed. Despite the fact that it was not a nationwide study, it included all calls requesting emergency assistance from one of the largest regions in Spain with more than 8 million inhabitants. Additional studies are still needed to confirm its applicability to other regions or countries.
In conclusion, our geographical analysis revealed differences in the risk of hypoglycemic events requiring emergency assistance in the different geographic areas, which seems to be affected by age and associated with societal factors such as employment, literacy/education, housing and sports facilities. These findings warrant further research to more deeply understand spatial patterns of hypoglycemia and design-specific prevention programs according to its geographical distribution and societal characteristics.