The opinion poll results below were recalculated from the original data and exclude polls that chose "I will not vote" or "I am uncertain" options.
Fieldwork date
|
Polling firm
|
Sample size
|
GERB SDS
|
BSP
|
DPS
|
VMRO
|
NFSB
|
Attack
|
ABV
|
DB
|
Volya
|
Others
|
NOTA
|
Lead
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
25 May 2014
|
2014 EU Election
|
30.4[a]
|
18.9[b]
|
17.3
|
10.7[c]
|
3.1
|
3.0
|
4.0
|
—
|
—
|
12.7
|
–
|
11.5
|
26 March 2017
|
2017 Election
|
32.7[a]
|
27.2[d]
|
9.0
|
9.1
|
1.6[e]
|
5.4[f]
|
4.2
|
8.3
|
2.5
|
5.5
|
20–25 Jul 2018
|
Barometer
|
846
|
36.1
|
29.4
|
15.3
|
17.4
|
–
|
–
|
–
|
1.8
|
–
|
6.8
|
2-7 Nov 2018
|
AFIS
|
1010
|
30.2
|
32.2
|
12.0
|
4.6
|
–
|
–
|
2.3
|
9.2
|
9.5
|
2.0
|
10-17 Dec 2018
|
Exacta
|
1000
|
35.8
|
31.7
|
7.8
|
5.8
|
1.5
|
3.8
|
1.5
|
12.2
|
–
|
4.1
|
14-19 Dec 2018
|
Alpha Research
|
1027
|
33.2
|
30.9
|
10.6
|
6.0
|
–
|
5.6
|
3.9
|
9.8
|
–
|
2.3
|
10-17 Jan 2019
|
Trend
|
1008
|
33.3
|
31.1
|
12.6
|
6.4
|
–
|
3.6
|
2.9
|
10.1
|
–
|
2.2
|
12-21 Jan 2019
|
Market Links
|
1007
|
37.8
|
27.1
|
10.0
|
8.5
|
–
|
6.5
|
1.3
|
8.7
|
–
|
10.7
|
14-19 Jan 2019
|
AFIS
|
1010
|
32.9
|
34.6
|
11.0
|
4.7
|
–
|
1.4
|
1.4
|
6.0
|
8.0
|
1.7
|
17-21 Jan 2019
|
Sova Harris
|
985
|
37.7[g]
|
32.6
|
9.4
|
1.2
|
1.4
|
3.0
|
1.4
|
3.2[f]
|
2.9
|
7.1
|
–
|
5.0
|
26 Jan-1 Feb 2019
|
Mediana
|
810
|
35.0[g]
|
33.0
|
4.9
|
10.6
|
3.0
|
2.8
|
3.2
|
7.1
|
–
|
2.0
|
5-13 Feb 2019
|
Trend
|
1007
|
33.6
|
31.2
|
11.7
|
6.8
|
–
|
4.1
|
2.7
|
3.2
|
6.6
|
2.4
|
15-25 Feb 2019
|
Market Links
|
1018
|
37.3
|
32.8
|
7.3
|
4.6
|
–
|
7.3
|
1.5
|
9.2
|
–
|
4.5
|
19-28 Feb 2019
|
Exacta
|
1000
|
35.1[g]
|
29.0
|
10.3
|
9.6
|
1.5
|
3.7
|
1.5
|
9.3
|
–
|
6.1
|
22-28 Feb 2019
|
AFIS
|
1010
|
31.1
|
36.9
|
12.8
|
7.2
|
–
|
1.6
|
–
|
4.2
|
4.5
|
5.8
|
6-11 Mar 2019
|
Sova Harris
|
1000
|
38.2[g]
|
30.6
|
11.5
|
3.0
|
1.3
|
3.0
|
1.3
|
3.2
|
3.3
|
1.3
|
3.5
|
7.6
|
6-13 Mar 2019
|
Trend
|
1005
|
33.6
|
30.4
|
12.1
|
4.4
|
1.7
|
2.3
|
–
|
4.4
|
3.2
|
3.0
|
4.9
|
3.2
|
22-26 Mar 2019
|
Alpha Research
|
1011
|
33.9
|
33.4
|
10.6
|
4.1
|
2.2
|
2.1
|
1.2
|
5.1
|
1.9
|
5.5
|
–
|
0.5
|
4-9 Apr 2019
|
Mediana
|
1001
|
31.5
|
32.1
|
9.5
|
4.4
|
2.1
|
3.8
|
3.1
|
2.9
|
4.9
|
5.8
|
–
|
0.6
|
5-11 Apr 2019
|
Gallup International
|
1015
|
31.0
|
32.1
|
11.1
|
5.0
|
1.4
|
1.9
|
1.5
|
4.5
|
3.5
|
5.8
|
2.2
|
1.1
|
5-12 Apr 2019
|
Trend
|
1008
|
30.5
|
31.3
|
12.7
|
5.5
|
1.3
|
2.0
|
1.3
|
4.3
|
3.6
|
3.1
|
4.4
|
0.8
|
12-22 Apr 2019
|
Market Links
|
1049
|
35.3
|
35.8
|
7.0
|
5.7
|
–
|
–
|
–
|
5.3
|
1.9
|
8.8
|
–
|
0.5
|
16-22 Apr 2019
|
Sova Harris
|
995
|
36.1
|
35.0
|
11.4
|
4.0
|
–
|
3.0
|
1.3
|
2.1
|
4.0
|
3.0
|
–
|
1.1
|
26 Apr 2019
|
Start of official election campaign
|
20-30 Apr 2019
|
Alpha Research
|
1015
|
32.2
|
32.7
|
9.3
|
6.0
|
1.7
|
1.2
|
1.2
|
4.5
|
1.7
|
7.3
|
2.2
|
0.5
|
29 Apr-4 May 2019
|
Specter
|
834
|
32.5
|
33.2
|
8.5
|
4.2
|
4.0
|
1.2
|
2.7
|
4.2
|
1.9
|
4.5
|
3.1
|
0.7
|
2-7 May 2019
|
Mediana
|
1008
|
29.9
|
31.9
|
10.7
|
4.7
|
3.9
|
2.6
|
3.8
|
3.4
|
4.9
|
4.2
|
–
|
2.0
|
7-14 May 2019
|
Specter
|
993
|
33.0
|
33.4
|
8.7
|
4.1
|
4.1
|
1.3
|
3.5
|
4.1
|
1.7
|
3.3
|
2.7
|
0.4
|
8–13 May 2019
|
Sova Harris
|
1000
|
34.4
|
33.5
|
13.7
|
4.4
|
–
|
3.8
|
1.5
|
2.1
|
4.7
|
1.9
|
–
|
0.9
|
10-15 May 2019
|
AFIS Archived 2019-05-23 at the Wayback Machine
|
1604
|
24.5
|
25.7
|
13.2
|
4.4
|
1.6
|
2.6
|
3.2
|
2.5
|
5.5
|
6.7
|
8.7
|
1.2
|
11–17 May 2019
|
Trend
|
1007
|
31.5
|
30.4
|
12.8
|
5.8
|
1.3
|
2.0
|
2.4
|
4.2
|
4.8
|
2.5
|
2.3
|
1.1
|
11–19 May 2019
|
Market Links
|
1024
|
33.8
|
31.4
|
7.9
|
6.5
|
2.4
|
–
|
1.4
|
5.4
|
3.3
|
7.9
|
–
|
2.4
|
17–21 May 2019
|
Mediana
|
1008
|
31.1
|
29.8
|
11.4
|
5.6
|
2.6
|
3.5
|
3.6
|
2.6
|
5.1
|
4.7
|
1.3
|
18–22 May 2019
|
Exacta
|
1000
|
32.4
|
27.3
|
13.3
|
6.5
|
2.0
|
2.0
|
1.8
|
4.3
|
4.5
|
5.9
|
–
|
5.1
|
19–22 May 2019
|
Alpha Research
|
1016
|
31.1
|
26.6
|
13.9
|
6.0
|
2.0
|
2.0
|
3.2
|
4.2
|
4.9
|
6.1
|
–
|
4.5
|
26 May 2019
|
Election results
|
30.1
|
23.5
|
16.1
|
7.1
|
1.1
|
1.0
|
0.8
|
5.9
|
3.5
|
7.8
|
3.0
|
6.6
|
Party | Votes | % | Seats | +/– |
---|
| GERB—SDS | 607,194 | 30.13 | 6 | 0 |
| Bulgarian Socialist Party | 474,160 | 23.53 | 5 | +1 |
| Movement for Rights and Freedoms | 323,510 | 16.05 | 3 | –1 |
| IMRO – Bulgarian National Movement | 143,830 | 7.14 | 2 | +1 |
| Democratic Bulgaria | 118,484 | 5.88 | 1 | +1 |
| Volya Movement | 70,830 | 3.51 | 0 | New |
| Patriots for Valeri Simeonov (NFSB–SEK) | 22,421 | 1.11 | 0 | 0 |
| NDSV–New Time | 21,315 | 1.06 | 0 | 0 |
| Attack | 20,906 | 1.04 | 0 | 0 |
| Revival | 20,319 | 1.01 | 0 | New |
| Coalition for Bulgaria | 16,759 | 0.83 | 0 | 0 |
| Democrats for Responsibility, Solidarity and Tolerance | 7,130 | 0.35 | 0 | New |
| People's Voice | 6,136 | 0.30 | 0 | 0 |
| Party of Greens | 6,051 | 0.30 | 0 | 0 |
| Movement 21 | 4,141 | 0.21 | 0 | New |
| Reload Bulgaria | 3,907 | 0.19 | 0 | New |
| Together Movement | 3,731 | 0.19 | 0 | New |
| VOLT | 3,500 | 0.17 | 0 | New |
| Direct Democracy | 2,425 | 0.12 | 0 | New |
| Bulgarian National Unification | 2,370 | 0.12 | 0 | New |
| Rise (RDP–ENP–BNF Chicago–SSD–BDS R) | 1,855 | 0.09 | 0 | New |
| Independents | 73,317 | 3.64 | 0 | 0 |
None of the above | 61,029 | 3.03 | – | – |
Total | 2,015,320 | 100.00 | 17 | 0 |
|
Valid votes | 2,015,320 | 96.17 | |
---|
Invalid/blank votes | 80,238 | 3.83 | |
---|
Total votes | 2,095,558 | 100.00 | |
---|
Registered voters/turnout | 6,378,694 | 32.85 | |
---|
Source: CIK |