Elgin—Middlesex—London (federal electoral district)

Elgin—Middlesex—London is a federal electoral district in Ontario, Canada, that has been represented in the House of Commons of Canada since 1997.

Elgin—Middlesex—London
Ontario electoral district
Elgin—Middlesex—London in relation to other southern Ontario electoral districts
Federal electoral district
LegislatureHouse of Commons
MP
 
 
 
Karen Vecchio
Conservative
District created1996
District abolished2023
First contested1997
Last contested2021
District webpageprofile, map
Demographics
Population (2011)[1]110,109
Electors (2015)82,062
Area (km²)[1]2,640
Pop. density (per km²)41.7
Census division(s)Elgin, Middlesex
Census subdivision(s)Aylmer, Bayham, Central Elgin, Dutton/Dunwich, London, Malahide, Southwold, St. Thomas, Thames Centre, West Elgin

It was created in 1996 from Elgin—Norfolk, Lambton—Middlesex, and London—Middlesex ridings. This riding lost territory to London—Fanshawe during the 2012 electoral redistribution.

Under the 2022 Canadian federal electoral redistribution the riding will be largely replaced by Elgin—St. Thomas—London South. Smaller parts will move to Middlesex—London.

Demographics

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According to the 2021 Canadian census[2]

Languages: 84.1% English, 2.9% German, 1.8% Plautdietsch

Religions: 59.0% Christian (17.9% Catholic, 8.7% United Church, 4.2% Anglican, 3.3% Baptist, 2.8% Anabaptist, 2.3% Presbyterian, 1.1% Reformed, 1.0% Pentecostal, 17.7% other), 2.6% Muslim, 36.7% none

Median income: $42,400 (2020)

Average income: $51,250 (2020)

Panethnic groups in Elgin—Middlesex—London (2011−2021)
Panethnic group 2021[3] 2016[4] 2011[5]
Pop. % Pop. % Pop. %
European[a] 111,815 89.87% 106,115 93.56% 102,850 95.05%
Indigenous 2,425 1.95% 2,230 1.97% 1,775 1.64%
Middle Eastern[b] 2,410 1.94% 925 0.82% 625 0.58%
South Asian 2,320 1.86% 760 0.67% 595 0.55%
African 1,815 1.46% 890 0.78% 515 0.48%
Southeast Asian[c] 1,225 0.98% 815 0.72% 765 0.71%
Latin American 950 0.76% 555 0.49% 350 0.32%
East Asian[d] 870 0.7% 650 0.57% 595 0.55%
Other/multiracial[e] 595 0.48% 485 0.43% 135 0.12%
Total responses 124,420 98.41% 113,415 98.58% 108,205 98.27%
Total population 126,428 100% 115,052 100% 110,109 100%
Notes: Totals greater than 100% due to multiple origin responses.
Demographics based on 2012 Canadian federal electoral redistribution riding boundaries.

Members of Parliament

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This riding has elected the following members of Parliament:

Parliament Years Member Party
Elgin—Middlesex—London
Riding created from Elgin—Norfolk,
Lambton—Middlesex and London—Middlesex
36th  1997–2000     Gar Knutson Liberal
37th  2000–2004
38th  2004–2006     Joe Preston Conservative
39th  2006–2008
40th  2008–2011
41st  2011–2015
42nd  2015–2019 Karen Vecchio
43rd  2019–2021
44th  2021–present
Riding dissolved into Elgin—St. Thomas—London South
and Middlesex—London

Election results

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Graph of election results in Elgin—Middlesex—London (minor parties that never got 2% of the vote or didn't run consistently are omitted)
 
2021 Results by election day polling stations
2021 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Conservative Karen Vecchio 31,472 49.9 -0.3 $102,347.57
Liberal Afeez Ajibowu 12,326 19.5 -3.7 $14,478.23
New Democratic Katelyn Cody 10,086 16.0 -1.8 $2,164.43
People's Chelsea Hillier 7,429 11.8 +10.3 none listed
Green Amanda Stark 1,417 2.2 -3.6 $2,383.93
Christian Heritage Michael Hopkins 328 0.5 $0.00
Total valid votes/expense limit 63,058 $124,204.20
Turnout 63,396 65.3 -1.4
Eligible voters 97,098
Conservative hold Swing +1.7
Source: Elections Canada[6][7]


2019 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Conservative Karen Vecchio 31,026 50.2 +0.98 $87,219.85
Liberal Pam Armstrong 14,324 23.2 -7.79 $41,162.50
New Democratic Bob Hargreaves 11,019 17.8 +2.39 $1,633.02
Green Ericha Hendel 3,562 5.8 +2.67 $0.00
People's Donald Helkaa 956 1.5 - none listed
Christian Heritage Peter Redecop 618 1.0 +0.07 $5,961.40
Libertarian Richard Styve 249 0.4 $468.95
Total valid votes/expense limit 61,754 100.0  
Total rejected ballots 475
Turnout 62,229 66.7
Eligible voters 93,347
Conservative hold Swing +4.39
Source: Elections Canada[8][9]
2015 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Conservative Karen Louise Vecchio 28,023 49.22 –8.83
Liberal Lori Baldwin-Sands 17,642 30.99 +17.57
New Democratic Fred Sinclair 8,771 15.41 –8.67
Green Bronagh Joyce Morgan 1,783 3.13 +0.11
Christian Heritage Michael Hopkins 529 0.93
Rhinoceros Lou Bernardi 185 0.32
Total valid votes/expense limit 56,933 100.00   $218,764.77
Total rejected ballots 230 0.40
Turnout 57,163 68.96
Eligible voters 82,892
Conservative hold Swing –13.20
Source: Elections Canada[10][11]
2011 federal election redistributed results[12]
Party Vote %
  Conservative 28,387 58.05
  New Democratic 11,774 24.08
  Liberal 6,559 13.41
  Green 1,478 3.02
  Others 701 1.43
2011 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Conservative Joe Preston 29,147 57.55 +9.17
New Democratic Fred Sinclair 12,439 24.56 +5.32
Liberal Graham Warwick 6,812 13.45 -10.07
Green John Fisher 1,529 3.02 -3.80
Christian Heritage Carl Hiemstra 582 1.15 -0.15
Canadian Action Will Arlow 140 0.28 +0.08
Total valid votes 50,649 100.00
Total rejected ballots 170 0.33 -0.07
Turnout 50,819 62.90 +3.24
Eligible voters 80,796
2008 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±% Expenditures
Conservative Joe Preston 22,970 48.38 +2.8 $77,732
Liberal Suzanne van Bommel 11,169 23.52 -2.8 $79,198
New Democratic Ryan Dolby 9,135 19.24 0.0 $12,502
Green Noel Burgon 3,241 6.82 +1.2
Christian Heritage Carl Hiemstra 619 1.30 -0.7 $9,598
Independent Michael van Holst 243 0.51 $1,875
Canadian Action Will Arlow 96 0.20 0.0
Total valid votes/expense limit 47,473 100.0 $85,544
Total rejected ballots 190 0.40
Turnout 47,663 59.66
2006 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Conservative Joe Preston 23,416 45.6 +1.8
Liberal Crispin Colvin 13,507 26.3 -7.9
New Democratic Tim McCallum 9,873 19.2 +4.6
Green Jonathan Martyn 2,878 5.6 +1.2
Christian Heritage Ken DeVries 1,049 2.0 -0.7
Progressive Canadian Phill Borm 504 1.0
Canadian Action Will Arlow 105 0.2 -0.1
Total valid votes 51,332 100.0
2004 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Conservative Joe Preston 20,333 43.8 -8.7
Liberal Gar Knutson 15,860 34.2 -6.2
New Democratic Tim McCallum 6,763 14.6 +9.4
Green Julie-Ann Stodolny 2,033 4.4 +3.4
Christian Heritage Ken DeVries 1,246 2.7 +1.8
Canadian Action Will Arlow 146 0.3
Total valid votes 46,381 100.0

Note: Conservative vote is compared to the total of the Canadian Alliance vote and Progressive Conservative vote in 2000 election.

2000 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Liberal Gar Knutson 17,890 40.4 +0.4
Alliance Bill Walters 17,202 38.8 +15.8
Progressive Conservative Delia Reiche 6,080 13.7 -12.0
New Democratic Tim McCallum 2,319 5.2 -2.1
Green John R. Fisher 431 1.0 -0.2
Independent Ken DeVries 407 0.9 -1.9
Total valid votes 44,329 100.0

Note: Canadian Alliance vote is compared to the Reform vote in 1997 election.

1997 Canadian federal election
Party Candidate Votes %
Liberal Gar Knutson 17,890 40.0
Progressive Conservative Luella Watson 11,499 25.7
Reform John Van Der Veen 10,307 23.0
New Democratic Cynthia Nurse 3,260 7.3
Christian Heritage Ron Steenbergen 1,275 2.8
Green John R. Fisher 508 1.1
Total valid votes 44,739 100.0

See also

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References

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  • "Elgin—Middlesex—London (federal electoral district) (Code 35020) Census Profile". 2011 census. Government of Canada - Statistics Canada. Retrieved March 3, 2011.
  • Federal riding history from the Library of Parliament
  • 2011 Results from Elections Canada
  • Campaign expense data from Elections Canada

Notes

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  1. ^ Statistic includes all persons that did not make up part of a visible minority or an indigenous identity.
  2. ^ Statistic includes total responses of "West Asian" and "Arab" under visible minority section on census.
  3. ^ Statistic includes total responses of "Filipino" and "Southeast Asian" under visible minority section on census.
  4. ^ Statistic includes total responses of "Chinese", "Korean", and "Japanese" under visible minority section on census.
  5. ^ Statistic includes total responses of "Visible minority, n.i.e." and "Multiple visible minorities" under visible minority section on census.
  1. ^ a b Statistics Canada: 2012
  2. ^ Government of Canada, Statistics Canada (February 9, 2022). "Profile table, Census Profile, 2021 Census of Population - Elgin--Middlesex--London [Federal electoral district (2013 Representation Order)], Ontario". www12.statcan.gc.ca. Retrieved March 10, 2023.
  3. ^ Government of Canada, Statistics Canada (October 26, 2022). "Census Profile, 2021 Census of Population". www12.statcan.gc.ca. Retrieved April 6, 2024.
  4. ^ Government of Canada, Statistics Canada (October 27, 2021). "Census Profile, 2016 Census". www12.statcan.gc.ca. Retrieved April 6, 2024.
  5. ^ Government of Canada, Statistics Canada (November 27, 2015). "NHS Profile". www12.statcan.gc.ca. Retrieved April 6, 2024.
  6. ^ "List of confirmed candidates – September 20, 2021 Federal Election". Elections Canada. Retrieved September 2, 2021.
  7. ^ "Election Night Results". Elections Canada. Retrieved October 25, 2021.
  8. ^ "List of confirmed candidates". Elections Canada. Retrieved October 4, 2019.
  9. ^ "Election Night Results". Elections Canada. Retrieved October 30, 2019.
  10. ^ Elections Canada – Confirmed candidates for Elgin—Middlesex—London, 30 September 2015
  11. ^ Elections Canada – Preliminary Election Expenses Limits for Candidates Archived 2015-08-15 at the Wayback Machine
  12. ^ Pundits' Guide to Canadian Elections
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