File:Global Temperature And Forces With Fahrenheit.svg

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Summary

Description	English: Changes in global surface temperature from 1880 to 2023 (black line) relative to 1850–1900 average. Annual data from NASA here: https://climate.nasa.gov/vital-signs/global-temperature/. IPCC anomaly is 1.09 C average from 2011 to 2020 as per IPCC AR6 WG1 SPM pp5 A.1.2, so NASA data is offset to that number. Data does not go back to 1850 as datasets differ from 1850 to 1880 for NOAA, others (NASA starts in 1880, and all tend to agree from that point forward). 20-year LOWESS smooth matched to 20 year moving average as per IPCC AR6 standard for determining current warming levels. Natural influence based on CMIP6 climate model simulations of the temperature response to natural drivers only (solar and volcanic activity, green). Colored shade shows the "very likely" range of simulations. Source: IPCC AR6 WGI, Figure SPM.1b, p. SPM-7. See File:Global Temperature And Forces.svg for a version without Fahrenheit.
Date	29 January 2024
Source	Own work based on SPM.1b in https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/wg1/figures/summary-for-policymakers (archive)
Author	Efbrazil

Related file

Global Temperature And Forces.svg
(Precursor graphic, without Fahrenheit scale)

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File history

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	Date/Time	Dimensions	User	Comment
current	18:38, 16 February 2024	960 × 720 (22 KB)	Efbrazil	Going to NASA data set and IPCC temperature offset, as per discussion on climate change talk page
	18:59, 13 February 2024	960 × 720 (24 KB)	Efbrazil	Visual teaks
	18:50, 13 February 2024	960 × 720 (25 KB)	Efbrazil	Visual tweaks
	18:38, 13 February 2024	960 × 720 (25 KB)	Efbrazil	Visual tweaks
	21:11, 12 February 2024	960 × 720 (30 KB)	Efbrazil	New version with celcius / fahrenheit flipped, error range in key, 20 year smoothing emphasized
	20:43, 29 January 2024	960 × 720 (46 KB)	Efbrazil	Updated to include 2023 temperatures and a 20-year lowess smoothing line as per IPCC
	03:30, 13 January 2024	960 × 720 (53 KB)	Tofeiku	File uploaded using svgtranslate tool (https://svgtranslate.toolforge.org/). Added translation for ms.
	15:12, 31 March 2023	960 × 720 (51 KB)	Efbrazil	Removing "Year" from the x axis, it really isn't necessary
	18:04, 14 December 2021	960 × 720 (51 KB)	Efbrazil	Uploaded own work with UploadWizard