Age as a Confounding Factor for the Accurate Non-Invasive Diagnosis of Advanced NAFLD Fibrosis
- PMID: 27725647
- PMCID: PMC5418560
- DOI: 10.1038/ajg.2016.453
Age as a Confounding Factor for the Accurate Non-Invasive Diagnosis of Advanced NAFLD Fibrosis
Abstract
Objectives: Non-invasive fibrosis scores are widely used to identify/exclude advanced fibrosis in patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). However, these scores were principally developed and validated in patients aged between 35 and 65 years of age. The objective of this study was to assess the effect of age on the performance of non-invasive fibrosis tests in NAFLD.
Methods: Patients were recruited from European specialist hepatology clinics. The cohort was divided into five age-based groups: ≤35 (n=74), 36-45 (n=96), 46-55 (n=197), 56-64 (n=191), and ≥65 years (n=76), and the performance of the aspartate aminotransferase (AST)/alanine transaminase (ALT) ratio, fibrosis 4 (FIB-4), and NAFLD fibrosis score (NFS) for advanced fibrosis (stage F3-F4) for each group was assessed using liver biopsy as the standard.
Results: Six hundred and thirty-four patients were included. The diagnostic accuracy of the AST/ALT ratio was lower than NFS and FIB-4 in all the age groups. The AST/ALT ratio, NFS, and FIB-4 score performed poorly for a diagnosis of advanced fibrosis in those aged ≤35 years (area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUROCs 0.52, 0.52, and 0.60, respectively). For all groups >35 years, AUROCs for advanced fibrosis were similar for the NFS and FIB-4 score (range 0.77-0.84). However, the specificity for advanced fibrosis using the FIB-4 and NFS declined with age, becoming unacceptably low in those aged ≥65 years (35% for FIB-4 and 20% for NFS). New cutoffs were derived (and validated) for those aged ≥65 years, which improved specificity to 70% without adversely affecting sensitivity (FIB-4 2.0, sensitivity 77%; NFS 0.12, sensitivity 80%).
Conclusions: The NFS and FIB-4 scores have similar accuracy for advanced fibrosis in patients aged >35 years. However, the specificity for advanced fibrosis is unacceptably low in patients aged ≥65 years, resulting in a high false positive rate. New thresholds for use in patients aged ≥65 years are proposed to address this issue.
Conflict of interest statement
Figures
Comment in
-
Caution in Using Non-Invasive Scoring Systems in NAFLD Beyond Highly Selected Study Populations.Am J Gastroenterol. 2017 Apr;112(4):653-654. doi: 10.1038/ajg.2017.28. Am J Gastroenterol. 2017. PMID: 28381853 No abstract available.
-
Low Utility of Noninvasive Fibrosis Scores in Young Adults with Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease.Am J Gastroenterol. 2017 Apr;112(4):652-653. doi: 10.1038/ajg.2016.596. Am J Gastroenterol. 2017. PMID: 28381858 No abstract available.
-
Editorial: Age and Non-Invasive Markers of Fibrosis in Patients With Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease: Time to Adjust the Clock?Am J Gastroenterol. 2017 May;112(5):752-754. doi: 10.1038/ajg.2017.60. Am J Gastroenterol. 2017. PMID: 28469217
Similar articles
-
Identifying Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease Advanced Fibrosis in the Veterans Health Administration.Dig Dis Sci. 2018 Sep;63(9):2259-2266. doi: 10.1007/s10620-018-5123-3. Epub 2018 May 19. Dig Dis Sci. 2018. PMID: 29779083
-
Diagnostic Accuracy of Noninvasive Fibrosis Models to Detect Change in Fibrosis Stage.Clin Gastroenterol Hepatol. 2019 Aug;17(9):1877-1885.e5. doi: 10.1016/j.cgh.2018.12.031. Epub 2019 Jan 4. Clin Gastroenterol Hepatol. 2019. PMID: 30616027 Free PMC article.
-
Impact of Obesity and Alanine Aminotransferase Levels on the Diagnostic Accuracy for Advanced Liver Fibrosis of Noninvasive Tools in Patients With Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease.Am J Gastroenterol. 2019 Jun;114(6):916-928. doi: 10.14309/ajg.0000000000000153. Am J Gastroenterol. 2019. PMID: 31169533
-
Liver fibrosis stage based on the four factors (FIB-4) score or Forns index in adults with chronic hepatitis C.Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2024 Aug 13;8(8):CD011929. doi: 10.1002/14651858.CD011929.pub2. Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2024. PMID: 39136280 Review.
-
Comparison of laboratory tests, ultrasound, or magnetic resonance elastography to detect fibrosis in patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease: A meta-analysis.Hepatology. 2017 Nov;66(5):1486-1501. doi: 10.1002/hep.29302. Epub 2017 Sep 26. Hepatology. 2017. PMID: 28586172 Review.
Cited by
-
Advances in the management of alcohol-associated liver disease.Gastroenterol Rep (Oxf). 2024 Nov 5;12:goae097. doi: 10.1093/gastro/goae097. eCollection 2024. Gastroenterol Rep (Oxf). 2024. PMID: 39502523 Free PMC article. Review.
-
Liver Fibrosis Indices Predict the Severity of SARS-CoV-2 Infection.J Clin Med. 2022 Sep 13;11(18):5369. doi: 10.3390/jcm11185369. J Clin Med. 2022. PMID: 36143014 Free PMC article.
-
Case-finding strategies in non-alcoholic fatty liver disease.JHEP Rep. 2020 Dec 5;3(2):100219. doi: 10.1016/j.jhepr.2020.100219. eCollection 2021 Apr. JHEP Rep. 2020. PMID: 33659890 Free PMC article. Review.
-
Epidemiology: Pathogenesis, and Diagnostic Strategy of Diabetic Liver Disease in Japan.Int J Mol Sci. 2020 Jun 18;21(12):4337. doi: 10.3390/ijms21124337. Int J Mol Sci. 2020. PMID: 32570776 Free PMC article. Review.
-
4. Comprehensive Medical Evaluation and Assessment of Comorbidities: Standards of Care in Diabetes-2024.Diabetes Care. 2024 Jan 1;47(Suppl 1):S52-S76. doi: 10.2337/dc24-S004. Diabetes Care. 2024. PMID: 38078591 Free PMC article. Review.
References
-
- Anstee QM, McPherson S, Day CP. How big a problem is non-alcoholic fatty liver disease? BMJ 2011;343:d3897. - PubMed
-
- Chalasani N, Younossi Z, Lavine JE et al. The diagnosis and management of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease: practice Guideline by the American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases, American College of Gastroenterology, and the American Gastroenterological Association. Hepatology 2012;55:2005–2023. - PubMed
-
- Browning JD, Szczepaniak LS, Dobbins R et al. Prevalence of hepatic steatosis in an urban population in the United States: impact of ethnicity. Hepatology 2004;40:1387–1395. - PubMed
-
- Anstee QM, Targher G, Day CP. Progression of NAFLD to diabetes mellitus, cardiovascular disease or cirrhosis. Nat Rev Gastroenterol Hepatol 2013;10:330–344. - PubMed
Publication types
MeSH terms
Substances
LinkOut - more resources
Full Text Sources
Other Literature Sources
Medical
Miscellaneous