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. 2018 Nov 16;18(1):1125.
doi: 10.1186/s12885-018-4996-z.

Does fibrosis have an impact on survival of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma: evidence from the SEER database?

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Does fibrosis have an impact on survival of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma: evidence from the SEER database?

Hui Liu et al. BMC Cancer. .

Abstract

Background: Liver fibrosis is involved in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), but its effect on the survival of patients with HCC remains controversial. This study aims to explore whether the severity of liver fibrosis has an impact on HCC overall survival (OS) and disease-specific survival (DSS) in Surveilance, Epidemiology, and End-Results (SEER) database.

Methods: A total of 11,783 HCC patients diagnosed between 2004 and 2014 from SEER database were enrolled. Cox proportional hazard regression models were used to estimate crude and adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for fibrosis group associated with survival. Decision curve analysis (DCA) was also performed to compare the effect of fibrosis with other clinicopathological characteristics for survival outcome.

Results: Patients with high fibrosis score (5-6) had a greater proportion than those with low fibrosis score (0-4) (80.3% vs. 19.7%). Fibrosis score was an independent prognostic factor for OS (HR = 1.09, 95%CI: 1.02-1.16), but not for DSS (HR = 1.05, 95%CI: 0.98-1.13) by multivariate Cox proportional hazard models. Additionally, there was no significant effect of liver fibrosis on OS and DSS with stratification of TNM stage and therapy. Findings of DCA showed that fibrosis was less associated with survival outcome in comparison with other tumor characteristics.

Conclusions: The effect of fibrosis on HCC survival was less important than that of other clinicopathological characteristics (like TNM stage or tumor size).

Keywords: Decision curve analysis; Hepatocellular carcinoma; Liver fibrosis; SEER database; Survival.

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Conflict of interest statement

Ethics approval and consent to participate

The data in this study was obtained from SEER database and National Cancer Institute had given us permission to access data for researching (Reference number: 11114-Nov2016). Given that SEER data is de-identified and ethics approval is waived, this study was exempted from Institutional Research Board review.

Consent for publication

Not applicable.

Competing interests

The authors declare that we have no competing interests.

Publisher’s Note

Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.

Figures

Fig. 1
Fig. 1
Flowchart displaying the selection procedure of HCC cases in SEER database
Fig. 2
Fig. 2
Decision curve analysis of fibrosis in patients with HCC. a The net benefit plotted using fibrosis, TNM stage, tumor size for overall survival. b The net benefit plotted using fibrosis, TNM stage, tumor size for disease-specific survival. c The net benefit plotted using multivariate models with and without fibrosis for overall survival

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