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Meta-Analysis
. 2021 Jun 1;23(6):894-904.
doi: 10.1093/neuonc/noaa285.

The incidence of brain metastases among patients with metastatic breast cancer: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Affiliations
Meta-Analysis

The incidence of brain metastases among patients with metastatic breast cancer: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Markus Kuksis et al. Neuro Oncol. .

Abstract

Background: Patients with metastatic breast cancer (MBC) are living longer, but the development of brain metastases often limits their survival. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to determine the incidence of brain metastases in this patient population.

Methods: Articles published from January 2000 to January 2020 were compiled from four databases using search terms related to breast cancer, brain metastasis, and incidence. The overall and per patient-year incidence of brain metastases were extracted from studies including patients with human epidermal growth factor receptor-2 positive (HER2+), triple negative, and hormone receptor (HR)+/hormone receptor negative (HER2-) MBC; pooled overall estimates for incidence were calculated using random effects models.

Results: 937 articles were compiled, and 25 were included in the meta-analysis. Incidence of brain metastases in patients with HER2+ MBC, triple negative MBC, and HR+/HER2- MBC was reported in 17, 6, and 4 studies, respectively. The pooled cumulative incidence of brain metastases was 31% for the HER2+ subgroup (median follow-up: 30.7 months, IQR: 24.0-34.0), 32% for the triple negative subgroup (median follow-up: 32.8 months, IQR: 18.5-40.6), and 15% among patients with HR+/HER2- MBC (median follow-up: 33.0 months, IQR: 31.9-36.2). The corresponding incidences per patient-year were 0.13 (95% CI: 0.10-0.16) for the HER2+ subgroup, 0.13 (95%CI: 0.09-0.20) for the triple negative subgroup, and only 0.05 (95%CI: 0.03-0.08) for patients with HR+/HER2- MBC.

Conclusion: There is a high incidence of brain metastases among patients with HER2+ and triple negative MBC. The utility of a brain metastases screening program warrants investigation in these populations.

Keywords: brain metastases; human epidermal growth factor receptor-2 positive (HER2+); incidence; metastatic breast cancer; triple negative.

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Figures

Fig. 1
Fig. 1
Schematic illustrating study selection process. Adapted from PRISMA flow diagram 2009. PRISMA, Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses.
Fig. 2
Fig. 2
A) Forest plot of pooled incidence rate (patient-years) for HER2+ MBC. Random effects model presented. Incidence per year of follow-up ranged from 0.04 to 0.27. Median follow-up times ranged from 5.8 to 53.6 months. B) Funnel Plot for publication bias according to studies reporting brain metastasis in HER2+ MBC. Egger’s test; P = 0.30. HER2+, human epidermal growth factor receptor-2 positive; MBC, metastatic breast cancer.
Fig. 3
Fig. 3
A) Forest plot of pooled incidence rate (patient-years) for HR+/HER2− MBC. Random effects model presented. Incidence per year of follow-up ranged from 0.03–0.10. Median follow-up times ranged from 32.0–42.8 months. B) Funnel plot for publication bias according to studies reporting brain metastasis in HR+/HER2− MBC. HER2−, hormone receptor negative; HR+, hormone receptor; MBC, metastatic breast cancer.
Fig. 4
Fig. 4
A) Forest plot of pooled incidence rate (patient-years) for triple negative MBC. Random effects model presented. Incidence per year of follow-up ranged from 0.07 to 0.31. Median follow-up times ranged from 12.0 to 48.1 months. B) Funnel plot illustrating studies reporting brain metastasis in triple negative MBC. MBC, metastatic breast cancer.
Fig. 5
Fig. 5
A) Forest plot of pooled incidence rate (patient-years) for MBC, irrespective of subtype. Random effects model presented. Incidence per year of follow-up ranged from 0.02 to 0.19. Median follow-up times ranged from 12.0 to 137.0 months. B) Funnel Plot for publication bias according to studies reporting brain metastasis in MBC, irrespective of subtype. Egger’s test, P = 0.88. MBC, metastatic breast cancer.

Comment in

  • Letter to the editor concerning Kuksis et al.
    Schwartz NRM, Dalmat RR. Schwartz NRM, et al. Neuro Oncol. 2021 Aug 2;23(8):1404-1405. doi: 10.1093/neuonc/noab050. Neuro Oncol. 2021. PMID: 33982751 Free PMC article. No abstract available.
  • Reply to letter by Schwartz et al.
    Kuksis M, Gao Y, Kiss A, Jerzak KJ. Kuksis M, et al. Neuro Oncol. 2021 Aug 2;23(8):1406-1407. doi: 10.1093/neuonc/noab078. Neuro Oncol. 2021. PMID: 33982755 Free PMC article. No abstract available.

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