Skip to main content

Thank you for visiting nature.com. You are using a browser version with limited support for CSS. To obtain the best experience, we recommend you use a more up to date browser (or turn off compatibility mode in Internet Explorer). In the meantime, to ensure continued support, we are displaying the site without styles and JavaScript.

  • Article
  • Published:

Early versus deferred use of CDK4/6 inhibitors in advanced breast cancer

Abstract

Cyclin-dependent kinase 4 and 6 inhibitors (CDK4/6i) in combination with endocrine therapy improve the outcomes of patients with hormone-receptor (HR)-positive, HER2-negative advanced breast cancer and can be used early as first-line treatment or deferred to second-line treatment1,2,3,4,5,6,7. Randomized data comparing the use of CDK4/6i in the first- and second-line setting are lacking. The phase 3 SONIA trial (NCT03425838) randomized 1,050 patients who had not received previous therapy for advanced breast cancer to receive CDK4/6i in the first- or second-line setting8. All of the patients received the same endocrine therapy, consisting of an aromatase inhibitor for first-line treatment and fulvestrant for second-line treatment. The primary end point was defined as the time from randomization to disease progression after second-line treatment (progression-free survival 2 (PFS2)). We observed no statistically significant benefit for the use of CDK4/6i as a first-line compared with second-line treatment (median, 31.0 versus 26.8 months, respectively; hazard ratio = 0.87; 95% confidence interval = 0.74–1.03; P = 0.10). The health-related quality of life was similar in both groups. First-line CDK4/6i use was associated with a longer CDK4/6i treatment duration compared with second-line use (median CDK4/6i treatment duration of 24.6 versus 8.1 months, respectively) and more grade ≥3 adverse events (2,763 versus 1,591, respectively). These data challenge the need for first-line use of a CDK4/6i in all patients.

This is a preview of subscription content, access via your institution

Access options

Buy this article

Prices may be subject to local taxes which are calculated during checkout

Fig. 1: Trial design.
Fig. 2: PFS2 in the ITT population.
Fig. 3: Subgroup analysis of PFS2 in the ITT population.
Fig. 4: OS in the ITT population.

Similar content being viewed by others

Data availability

De-identified patient clinical data underlying the results reported in this Article will be made available to other researchers on reasonable request for academic use, within the limitations of the informed consent and the study’s consortium agreement. A detailed data proposal is required and will be considered on a case-by-case basis. Requests should be directed to BOOG study Center (info@boogstudycenter.nl) and will be reviewed by the study’s principal investigators. A response will be provided within 90 days. A signed data-access agreement with the sponsor is required before accessing shared data. The study protocol and SAP are provided with the paper.

References

  1. Finn, R. S. et al. Palbociclib and letrozole in advanced breast cancer. N. Engl. J. Med. 375, 1925–1936 (2016).

    Article  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  2. Hortobagyi, G. N. et al. Updated results from MONALEESA-2, a phase III trial of first-line ribociclib plus letrozole versus placebo plus letrozole in hormone receptor-positive, HER2-negative advanced breast cancer. Ann. Oncol. 29, 1541–1547 (2018).

    Article  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  3. Johnston, S. et al. MONARCH 3 final PFS: a randomized study of abemaciclib as initial therapy for advanced breast cancer. NPJ Breast Cancer 5, 5 (2019).

    Article  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  4. Tripathy, D. et al. Ribociclib plus endocrine therapy for premenopausal women with hormone-receptor-positive, advanced breast cancer (MONALEESA-7): a randomised phase 3 trial. Lancet Oncol. 19, 904–915 (2018).

    Article  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  5. Cristofanilli, M. et al. Fulvestrant plus palbociclib versus fulvestrant plus placebo for treatment of hormone-receptor-positive, HER2-negative metastatic breast cancer that progressed on previous endocrine therapy (PALOMA-3): final analysis of the multicentre, double-blind, phase 3 randomised controlled trial. Lancet Oncol. 17, 425–439 (2016).

    Article  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  6. Slamon, D. J. et al. Phase III randomized study of ribociclib and fulvestrant in hormone receptor-positive, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative advanced breast cancer: MONALEESA-3. J. Clin. Oncol. 36, 2465–2472 (2018).

    Article  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  7. Sledge, G. W. et al. MONARCH 2: abemaciclib in combination with fulvestrant in women with HR+/HER2− advanced breast cancer who had progressed while receiving endocrine therapy. J. Clin. Oncol. 35, 2875–2884 (2017).

    Article  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  8. van Ommen-Nijhof, A. et al. Selecting the optimal position of CDK4/6 inhibitors in hormone receptor-positive advanced breast cancer—the SONIA study: study protocol for a randomized controlled trial. BMC Cancer 18, 1146 (2018).

    Article  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  9. Sledge, G. W. et al. The effect of abemaciclib plus fulvestrant on overall survival in hormone receptor-positive, ERBB2-negative breast cancer that progressed on endocrine therapy-MONARCH 2: a randomized clinical trial. JAMA Oncol. 6, 116–124 (2020).

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  10. Hortobagyi, G. N. et al. Overall survival with ribociclib plus letrozole in advanced breast cancer. N. Engl. J. Med. 386, 942–950 (2022).

    Article  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  11. Slamon, D. J. et al. Overall survival with ribociclib plus fulvestrant in advanced breast cancer. N. Engl. J. Med. 382, 514–524 (2020).

    Article  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  12. Lu, Y. S. et al. Updated overall survival of ribociclib plus endocrine therapy versus endocrine therapy alone in pre- and perimenopausal patients with HR+/HER2 advanced breast cancer in MONALEESA-7: a phase III randomized clinical trial. Clin. Cancer Res. 28, 851–859 (2022).

    Article  ADS  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  13. Gradishar, W. J. et al. NCCN Guidelines Insights: Breast cancer, Version 4.2023. J. Natl Compr. Cancer Netw.21, 594–608 (2023).

  14. Kümler, I., Knoop, A. S., Jessing, C. A., Ejlertsen, B. & Nielsen, D. L. Review of hormone-based treatments in postmenopausal patients with advanced breast cancer focusing on aromatase inhibitors and fulvestrant. ESMO Open 1, e000062 (2016).

    Article  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  15. Yang, C. et al. Acquired CDK6 amplification promotes breast cancer resistance to CDK4/6 inhibitors and loss of ER signaling and dependence. Oncogene 36, 2255–2264 (2017).

    Article  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  16. Park, Y. H. et al. Longitudinal multi-omics study of palbociclib resistance in HR-positive/HER2-negative metastatic breast cancer. Genome Med. 15, 55 (2023).

    Article  CAS  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  17. Gyawali, B. et al. Problematic crossovers in cancer drug trials. Nat. Rev. Clin. Oncol. 20, 815–816 (2023).

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  18. Spring, L. M. et al. Cyclin-dependent kinase 4 and 6 inhibitors for hormone receptor-positive breast cancer: past, present, and future. Lancet 395, 817–827 (2020). A.

    Article  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  19. Cherny, N. I. et al. A standardised, generic, validated approach to stratify the magnitude of clinical benefit that can be anticipated from anti-cancer therapies: the European Society for Medical Oncology Magnitude of Clinical Benefit Scale (ESMO-MCBS). Ann. Oncol. 26, 1547–1573 (2015).

    Article  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  20. G-standaard, Tarieven Januari (Z-index, 2023).

  21. G-standaard, Tarieven Januari (Z-index, 2019).

  22. Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services. Medicare Part D Spending by Drug (Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services, accessed 8 May 2024); data.cms.gov/summary-statistics-on-use-and-payments/medicare-medicaid-spending-by-drug/medicaid-spending-by-drug.

  23. Johnston, S. et al. Abemaciclib as initial therapy for advanced breast cancer: MONARCH 3 updated results in prognostic subgroups. NPJ Breast Cancer 7, 80 (2021).

    Article  CAS  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  24. Rugo, H. S. et al. Palbociclib plus letrozole as first-line therapy in estrogen receptor-positive/human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative advanced breast cancer with extended follow-up. Breast Cancer Res. Treat. 174, 719–729 (2019).

    Article  CAS  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  25. Di Lauro, V. et al. Health-related quality of life in breast cancer patients treated with CDK4/6 inhibitors: a systematic review. ESMO Open 7, 100629 (2022).

    Article  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  26. Turner, N. C. et al. Overall survival with palbociclib and fulvestrant in advanced breast cancer. N. Engl. J. Med. 379, 1926–1936 (2018).

    Article  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  27. Finn, S. R. et al. Overall survival (OS) with first-line palbociclib plus letrozole (PAL+LET) versus placebo plus letrozole (PBO+LET) in women with estrogen receptor–positive/human epidermal growth factor receptor 2–negative advanced breast cancer (ER+/HER2−ABC): Analyses from PALOMA-2. J. Clin. Oncol. 40, LBA1003 (2022).

    Article  Google Scholar 

  28. André, F. et al. Alpelisib for PIK3CA-mutated, hormone receptor-positive advanced breast cancer. N. Engl. J. Med. 380, 1929–1940 (2019).

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  29. Turner, N. C. et al. Capivasertib in hormone receptor-positive advanced breast cancer. N. Engl. J. Med. 388, 2058–2070 (2023).

    Article  CAS  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  30. Bidard, F. C. et al. Elacestrant (oral selective estrogen receptor degrader) versus standard endocrine therapy for estrogen receptor-positive, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-negative advanced breast cancer: results from the randomized phase III EMERALD trial. J. Clin. Oncol. 40, 3246–3256 (2022).

    Article  CAS  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  31. Garcia-Fructuoso, I., Gomez-Bravo, R. & Schettini, F. Integrating new oral selective oestrogen receptor degraders in the breast cancer treatment. Curr. Opin. Oncol. 34, 635–642 (2022).

    Article  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  32. Woodford, R. et al. Validity and efficiency of progression-free survival-2 as a surrogate end point for overall survival in advanced cancer randomized trials. JCO Precis. Oncol. 8, e2300296 (2024).

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  33. European Medicines Agency. Appendix 1 to the Guideline on the Evaluation of Anticancer Medicinal Products in Man (EMA, 2012).

  34. Fojo, T. & Simon, R. M. Inappropriate censoring in Kaplan-Meier analyses. Lancet Oncol. 22, 1358–1360 (2021).

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  35. Gyawali, B. et al. Biases in study design, implementation, and data analysis that distort the appraisal of clinical benefit and ESMO-Magnitude of Clinical Benefit Scale (ESMO-MCBS) scoring. ESMO Open 6, 100117 (2021).

    Article  CAS  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  36. Committee for Medicinal Products for Human Use. Guideline on the Choice of the Non-Inferiority Margin (EMA, 2005).

  37. Tannock, I. F. et al. The tyranny of non-inferiority trials. Lancet Oncol. 25, e520–e525 (2024).

  38. Committee for Medicinal Products for Human Use. Concept Paper for the Development of a Guideline on Non-Inferiority and Equivalence Comparisons in Clinical Trials (EMA, 2024).

  39. André, F. et al. Alpelisib plus fulvestrant for PIK3CA-mutated, hormone receptor-positive, human epidermal growth factor receptor-2-negative advanced breast cancer: final overall survival results from SOLAR-1. Ann. Oncol. 32, 208–217 (2021).

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  40. Robson, M. E. et al. OlympiAD final overall survival and tolerability results: Olaparib versus chemotherapy treatment of physician’s choice in patients with a germline BRCA mutation and HER2-negative metastatic breast cancer. Ann. Oncol. 30, 558–566 (2019).

    Article  CAS  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  41. Casparie, M. et al. Pathology databanking and biobanking in The Netherlands, a central role for PALGA, the nationwide histopathology and cytopathology data network and archive. Cell Oncol. 29, 19–24 (2007).

    CAS  PubMed  PubMed Central  Google Scholar 

  42. Eisenhauer, E. A. et al. New response evaluation criteria in solid tumours: revised RECIST guideline (version 1.1). Eur. J. Cancer 45, 228–247 (2009).

    Article  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  43. Cancer Therapy Evaluation Program. Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events (CTCAE) v.4.0 (National Cancer Institute, 2010).

  44. Brady, M. J. et al. Reliability and validity of the functional assessment of cancer therapy-breast quality-of-life instrument. J. Clin. Oncol. 15, 974–986 (1997).

    Article  CAS  PubMed  Google Scholar 

  45. Eton, D. T. et al. A combination of distribution- and anchor-based approaches determined minimally important differences (MIDs) for four endpoints in a breast cancer scale. J. Clin. Epidemiol. 57, 898–910 (2004).

    Article  PubMed  Google Scholar 

Download references

Acknowledgements

We thank all the patients who participated in this trial, as well as their families; all members of the steering committee and the study staff at all 74 hospitals of the SONIA trial; the independent Data Safety Monitoring Board; the Dutch Breast Cancer research Group (BOOG) for their support and sponsorship; the registration team of the Netherlands Comprehensive Cancer Organization (IKNL) for the collection of data for the Netherlands Cancer Registry; and all data managers for data collection throughout the trial. The Dutch Nationwide Pathology Databank (Palga) provided histopathology data. The Dutch Breast Cancer Association (BVN) was involved in the development and the execution of the trial. The trial was funded by the Netherlands Organization for Health Research (ZonMw) and Development and Dutch Health Insurers (ZN).

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Consortia

Contributions

A.J., G.S.S. and I.R.K. initiated the study. A.J., G.S.S., I.R.K. and V.v.d.N. designed the study with support from the study steering committee and The Dutch Breast Cancer Association (BVN). C.G.P. as director of BVN was involved in the development and the execution of the trial. A.E.v.L.-S. as director of the Dutch Breast Cancer research Group (BOOG) was involved in the project administration, funding acquisition and in the development and execution of the trial. A.B., A.v.O.-N., A.H.H., A.J., C.v.S.-v.d.M., C.S.T.-v.D., G.S.S., I.R.K., J.B.H., J.T., K.B., L.C.H., N.W., P.C.d.J., Q.C.v.R.-S. and S.V. contributed to recruitment of patients. A.C.P.S. and L.M. contributed to data collection and validation on behalf of the Netherlands Comprehensive Cancer Organization (IKNL). V.v.d.N. was the trial statistician. A.v.O.-N., N.W. and V.v.d.N. accessed and verified the data and contributed to the data analysis. H.M.B. contributed to the data analysis of the health-related quality-of-life and costing. A.J., G.S.S. and I.R.K. contributed to supervision of the study. A.J., A.v.O.-N., G.S.S., I.R.K. and N.W. wrote the initial draft of the article and decided to submit the manuscript. All of the authors participated in interpretation of the data and drafting of the manuscript. All of the authors reviewed and approved the final, submitted version.

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Gabe S. Sonke.

Ethics declarations

Competing interests

G.S.S. reports institutional research support from Agendia, AstraZeneca, Merck, Novartis, Roche and Seagen; and consultancy for Biovica, Novartis and Seagen. H.M.B. received grants from CADTH, ZIN and Medical Delta; and participated in a data safety monitoring board or advisory board for Pfizer. A.H.H. received consulting fees from Gilead and Lilly; and received payment or honoraria from Lilly. Q.C.v.R.-S. has participated in a data safety monitoring board or advisory board for Roche. I.R.K. reports institutional research grant support from Novartis and Gilead. The other authors declare no competing interests.

Peer review

Peer review information

Nature thanks Suzette Delaloge, Debu Tripathy and the other, anonymous, reviewer(s) for their contribution to the peer review of this work. Peer reviewer reports are available.

Additional information

Publisher’s note Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.

Extended data figures and tables

Extended Data Fig. 1 Trial profile.

The figure presents an overview of the course of the trial for all study participants. Of note, the number of deaths reported here are only those deaths that were reported to be the reason for discontinuation of first- or second-line therapy (i.e., patients who died in the absence of objective disease progression while on study treatment). The number of PFS2 events (n = 591) is different from the number of patients that discontinued second-line endocrine therapy (n = 502), since not all patients with a PFS2 event discontinued second-line treatment and not all patients who discontinued second-line treatment experienced a PFS2 event. NSAI, non-steroidal aromatase inhibitor; CDK4/6i, cyclin-dependent kinase 4 and 6 inhibitor.

Extended Data Fig. 2 PFS1 in ITT population.

Kaplan–Meier plots for PFS after one treatment line (PFS1) in the CDK4/6i-first and CDK4/6i-second group in the ITT population. Cox proportional hazard models were used to calculate hazard ratios between the study groups and were stratified according to the stratification factors used in randomization. The difference was assessed using the stratified log-rank test. P values are two-sided. Events, number of PFS1 events; n, number of patients randomized.

Extended Data Table 1 Overview of sensitivity analysis
Extended Data Table 2 HRQOL over time, descriptive analysis
Extended Data Table 3 HRQOL over time, regression analysis
Extended Data Table 4 Total number of adverse events per treatment group in the safety population
Extended Data Table 5 Total CDK4/6i drug costs per study group with drug prices in the Netherlands derived from both list prices of 2023 (a) and 2019 (b) and the United States (c)
Extended Data Table 6 Overview subsequent treatments in third line and higher

Supplementary information

Supplementary Information

This file contains Supplementary Table 1 (Overview protocol amendments), Supplementary Table 2 (Overview SAP adjustments), List of members of the SONIA consortium, Trial protocol (the first approved protocol version 1.2), Trial protocol (the last approved protocol version 1.11), and Statistical analysis plan.

Reporting Summary

Peer Review File

Rights and permissions

Springer Nature or its licensor (e.g. a society or other partner) holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law.

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Sonke, G.S., van Ommen-Nijhof, A., Wortelboer, N. et al. Early versus deferred use of CDK4/6 inhibitors in advanced breast cancer. Nature (2024). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-024-08035-2

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-024-08035-2

Search

Quick links

Nature Briefing: Cancer

Sign up for the Nature Briefing: Cancer newsletter — what matters in cancer research, free to your inbox weekly.

Get what matters in cancer research, free to your inbox weekly. Sign up for Nature Briefing: Cancer
  NODES
design 3
eth 29
News 3
orte 8
Story 1
twitter 1